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Convexity Daily 1x SPIKES Futures ETF Surges On Volatility Concerns

SPKX sees bullish engulfing pattern and increased volume, signaling potential bounce in stock market

Convexity Daily 1x SPIKES Futures ETF (NYSE: SPKX) was trading over 2% higher on Thursday, bouncing up from near the $9 level, which acted as support over the last four trading sessions, holding the ETF up from continuing in a downtrend pattern.

SPKX is a fund that tracks the SPIKES Futures Short-Term Index and measures volatility in broad-based equities in a similar way to ProShares Ultra VIX Short Term Futures ETF (NYSE: UVXY), which tracks the movement of the S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures Index.

The Federal Reserve’s next meeting is on July 25 and 26, when the central bank is largely expected to announce another 0.25% rate hike after pausing its campaign in June.

On the earnings front, Tesla and Netflix printed second-quarter earnings on Wednesday and were suffering bearish reactions on Thursday, drawing the S&P 500 lower and causing the VIX to pop about 1.9% higher.

As the Fed’s meeting draws nearer and more big-tech companies report earnings, volatility in the stock market could continue to increase, which could send SPKX higher. From a technical perspective, SPKX looks set to bounce over the coming days because the ETF was looking to print a bullish engulfing candlestick on the daily chart.

Stock market numbers are displayed on a screen at the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on July 18, 2023 in New York City. SPKX is a fund that tracks the SPIKES Futures Short-Term Index and measures volatility in broad-based equities in a similar way to ProShares Ultra VIX Short Term Futures ETF (NYSE: UVXY), which tracks the movement of the S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures Index. PHOTO BY MICHAEL M.SANTIAGO/GETTY IMAGES 

SPKX was printing a bullish engulfing candlestick Thursday on far-above-average volume, indicating a bounce could continue on Friday. As of late Thursday morning, SPKX’s trading volume was measuring in at over 13,600 compared to the 10-day average of 6,433, which indicates investors are bullish on the ETF and bearish on the stock market.

  • SPKX’s relative strength index (RSI) was rising slightly above 30% after trending in oversold territory for several trading days. When a stock or ETF’s RSI reaches that area, it can be a buy signal for technical traders.
  • Bulls want to see continued big bullish volume drive SPKX up over the eight-day exponential moving average, which would give traders more confidence going forward. Bears want to see decreasing volume and then for the ETF to lose support at $9, which would push SPKX back into a downtrend.
  • SPKX has resistance above at $9.64 and $10.55 and support below at $9 and the psychologically important $8 mark.

 

Produced in association with Benzinga

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