A candidate’s polling average reflects an estimate of the vote share a candidate would receive if the election were held today, while a PredictIt share price roughly corresponds to the market’s estimate of the probability of a candidate winning the election. BALLOTPEDIA
The United States will hold its 60th presidential election on November 5, 2024. The winner of the 2024 presidential election will be sworn into office on January 20, 2025.
“The Republican Party, will select its presidential nominee at the 2024 Republican National Convention, which will take place in Milwaukee, Wisconsin from July 15-18, 2024,” said Ballotpedia.
“As of July 10, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a lead in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market,” said Ballotpedia.
Trump’s polling average currently stands at 53%, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at 21%. No other candidate has more than a 10% polling average. In PredictIt’s Republican primary market, Trump’s share price is $0.59, and DeSantis’ share price is $0.22. No other candidate has a share price at or above $0.10.
“The Democratic Party, will select its presidential nominee at the 2024 Democratic National Convention, which will take place from August 19-22, 2024, in Chicago, Illinois,” said Ballotpedia.
Biden has a 35% polling average, with no other candidates polling at or above 10%, and a $0.69 PredictIt share price. Two other candidates have a share price at or above $0.10. California Governor Gavin Newsom (D) stands at $0.20, and environmental lawyer Robert F. Kennedy Jr. stands at $0.12.
Newsom is the only candidate of those mentioned above to have not announced a 2024 presidential campaign.
Produced in association with Ballotpedia
Edited by Judy J. Rotich and Newsdesk Manager
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