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Federal Energy Data Suggest Petroleum Demand Is Strong

Energy sector seems to have finally recovered from the deep freeze in Texas.

U.S. federal data on the commercial supply of petroleum and petroleum products show that consumer demand, and the industry itself, is recovering.

The data, published Wednesday by the U.S. Energy Information Administration, reported that total commercial crude oil inventories declined by 90,000 barrels during the week ending March 26.

A drain on inventories usually indicates an uptick in demand, while builds suggest the opposite.

Giovanni Staunovo, a commodities analyst at Swiss investment bank UBS, said generally speaking, the data were supportive.

“The most promising sign has been the strong increase in U.S. oil demand,” he told Zenger News. “The fast vaccine rollout in the U.S. should support oil demand also over the coming weeks.”

Many U.S. states have opened vaccinations up to people age 16 and older. On Wednesday, President Joe Biden announced that 90 percent of all adults in the country will be eligible for a vaccine by April 19.

According to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the seven-day average in new positive cases of COVID-19 is down nearly 12 percent from the previous weekly average.

That should support expectations of a general surge in U.S. economic activity, and it’s verified by the drain on gasoline inventories. Federal energy data showed gasoline inventories declined 1.8 million barrels.

“I’m not so focused on the inventory changes, but more on what appears to be constructive pickup in demand and refinery runs that should continue into the summer,” Abhi Rajendran, the head of North American energy research at Energy Intelligence, said from Houston.

Federal data show U.S. commercial crude oil inventories near the high end of the five-year range. (U.S. Energy Information Administration)

Refineries operated at 84 percent of their peak capacity last week, slightly higher than the 82 percent operational capacity the week before.

The Energy Information Administration, part of the Energy Department, also reported the total volume of petroleum products supplied to the market, a general proxy for demand, is down 4.9 percent from last year for the four-week period ending March 26. That’s a dramatic improvement from the report from March 24, which showed total products over the four-week period were down 10.7 percent from year-ago levels.

Phil Flynn, an energy market analyst at The PRICE Futures Group in Chicago, told Zenger the data show refineries are finally recovering from the February freeze in Texas that idled large parts of the operations in the regional energy sector.

The market moved lower on Wednesday, though most traders were focused on production meetings later this week from OPEC and its allies. West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark for the price of oil, was down about 2.5 percent as of 3 p.m. ET to trade at $59.07 per barrel.

(Edited by Bryan Wilkes and Kristen Butler)

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